Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 0.064679 0.072964 0.081478 0.090852 0.100855 0.111181 0.122620
2025-05-18 0.051813 0.064207 0.077631 0.093111 0.110337 0.128794 0.149942
2025-05-25 0.043241 0.058084 0.074877 0.094958 0.118014 0.143380 0.173129
2025-06-01 0.034879 0.050788 0.069565 0.092784 0.120191 0.151037 0.187918
2025-06-08 0.028387 0.044787 0.064949 0.090663 0.121770 0.157470 0.200852
2025-06-15 0.025132 0.042390 0.064321 0.092968 0.128271 0.169372 0.219904
2025-06-22 0.021970 0.039697 0.062984 0.094120 0.133166 0.179231 0.236470
2025-06-29 0.020346 0.038900 0.063931 0.098007 0.141310 0.192906 0.257521
2025-07-06 0.017808 0.036486 0.062501 0.098666 0.145321 0.201527 0.272526
2025-07-13 0.017878 0.037931 0.066307 0.106155 0.157929 0.220629 0.300148
2025-07-20 0.014972 0.034472 0.063081 0.104171 0.158403 0.224820 0.309781
2025-07-27 0.013760 0.033567 0.063357 0.106795 0.164717 0.236167 0.328071
2025-08-03 0.011533 0.030826 0.060974 0.105929 0.166778 0.242626 0.340953
2025-08-10 0.010389 0.029842 0.061145 0.108604 0.173542 0.255094 0.361402
2025-08-17 0.009234 0.028672 0.060927 0.110668 0.179471 0.266517 0.380609
2025-08-24 0.007341 0.025744 0.057731 0.108287 0.179308 0.270095 0.389995
2025-08-31 0.005749 0.023075 0.054705 0.105957 0.179064 0.273460 0.399035
2025-09-07 0.005150 0.022465 0.055006 0.108490 0.185434 0.285340 0.418773
2025-09-14 0.004432 0.021429 0.054499 0.109755 0.190027 0.294911 0.435621
2025-09-21 0.004194 0.021543 0.055969 0.114020 0.198805 0.309965 0.459457
2025-09-28 0.003536 0.020412 0.055161 0.114743 0.202607 0.318510 0.475053
2025-10-05 0.003816 0.021922 0.059150 0.122942 0.216977 0.340992 0.508464
2025-10-12 0.002919 0.019867 0.056533 0.120772 0.216666 0.344133 0.517219